6 Comments

Article is very clear and appreciate the information.

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This in fact could likely be proved through detailed economic analysis.

Also, the student loan figures could be shown starting in 2000, where it looks like they rose exponentially from a stable base. Thanks for your analysis Llewelyn!

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A lot of the student loan data starts in 2008. I have not seen any data showing an exponential rise in student loan debt starting in 2000. Here's a chart from the CBO showing a longer term trend in student loan totals. It was pretty consistent rise up until 2008.

https://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/images/full-reports/2020/56706-outstanding-loans.png

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A couple of things after I read the article closely. The default rate plummeted after the Feds basically redefined what a default is. They just moved defaults into another category it appears. Also, the huge increase in 2016-2017 loans needs to be investigated. What happened there?

My basic thesis is that the huge increase in loans did in fact drive tuition costs higher

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Do you have a source on the Feds redefining default? Every paper on the subject I've seen talks about IDR and other payment or forgiveness options to help avoid default, no mention of a change in definition.

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Thank you much for this analysis.

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